A New Era for Defense Catalyzed Innovation: NATO's 5% Commitment and the Tech Transfer / Dual-Use Revolution

The recent NATO summit in The Hague marked a pivotal moment for global security and, perhaps less obviously, for the future of technological innovation

A New Era for Defense and Innovation: NATO's 5% Commitment and the Tech Transfer Revolution

The recent NATO summit in The Hague marked a pivotal moment for global security and, perhaps less obviously, for the future of technological innovation. Leaders of member countries agreed to a significant increase in defense-related spending, aiming for 5% of GDP by 2035. This ambitious commitment, more than doubling the previous 2% target, is not merely about bolstering military might; it presents an unprecedented opportunity to accelerate tech-transfer and commercialization of cutting-edge frontier technologies, driving solutions for both defense and intelligent infrastructure.

Source: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_236516.htm

The 5% Commitment: A Catalyst for Change

The decision to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035 is a direct response to a rapidly evolving geopolitical landscape and increasing security threats. While some nations have expressed concerns about the fiscal implications, the consensus reached at The Hague underscores a shared resolve to enhance collective security. This substantial financial injection is poised to reshape the defense industrial base, moving beyond traditional procurement to foster a dynamic ecosystem of innovation.

Historically, defense spending has been a significant driver of research and development (R&D). Breakthroughs in areas like jet engines, cryptography, and the internet all trace their origins, in part, to military investment. However, in recent decades, the private sector has increasingly led the charge in technological advancement. The new NATO commitment could reverse this trend, re-establishing defense as a major force in R&D and creating a robust demand signal for advanced technologies. As of early 2025, all Allies are expected to meet or exceed the pre-summit target of 2% GDP, demonstrating a growing commitment that underpins this new, more ambitious target.

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Accelerating Tech Transfer and Commercialization

The increased defense budget presents a unique opportunity for the accelerated transfer and commercialization of existing and emerging frontier technologies. This goes beyond simply acquiring new weaponry; it's about leveraging innovation to build more intelligent, resilient, and adaptable defense and civilian infrastructure...

  • investing in new semiconductor architectures
  • sensor and communication capabilities
  • ultra-small AI that can be deployed to the edge
  • the integration of space and terrestrial technologies

Key areas of impact and opportunity include:

  • Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML): Increased investment will fuel the development and deployment of AI/ML for advanced data analytics, predictive modeling, autonomous systems, and enhanced decision-making in defense operations and critical infrastructure management. From intelligent surveillance systems to AI-powered logistics, the applications are vast.
  • Robotics and Autonomy: The demand for unmanned systems, both aerial and ground-based, will surge. This includes advanced robotics for reconnaissance, logistics, and even combat, with direct spillover into civilian applications like automated delivery, smart cities, and hazardous environment exploration.
  • Cybersecurity: As defense systems become more interconnected and reliant on digital infrastructure, the need for robust cybersecurity solutions will intensify. This will drive innovation in areas like threat detection, secure communication, and resilient network architectures, benefiting both military and civilian sectors.
  • Advanced Materials and Manufacturing: The development of lighter, stronger, and more durable materials, along with advanced manufacturing techniques like additive manufacturing (3D printing), will be crucial for next-generation defense platforms and infrastructure projects. These advancements have broad commercial applications, from aerospace to construction.
  • Space Technologies: With the increasing importance of space in modern warfare and communication, investment in satellite technology, space-based surveillance, and secure satellite communication will accelerate. This also has significant implications for commercial satellite services, global positioning, and earth observation.
  • Intelligent Infrastructure: The concept of "intelligent infrastructure" extends beyond military bases to encompass smart cities, critical national infrastructure (energy grids, transportation networks), and resilient communication systems. Frontier technologies developed for defense, such as advanced sensors, secure networks, and AI-driven predictive maintenance, can be directly applied to enhance the security, efficiency, and resilience of these civilian systems.

Bridging the Gap: The "Better Together" Investment for Hard-Tech / Defense Forward Innovation

Effective, efficient and accelerated tech-transfer and commercialization are critical to realizing the full potential of this increased spending- this means:
  1. R&D++, investing in our brightest researchers and scientists to develop the next wave of breakout technologies
  2. Empowering builders to build - fostering the translation of breakout science and research into vertical solutions that reach the warfighter and beyond
  3. Aligning risk capital across deployment across the public and private markets to better accelerate innovation... its a race (and we want to win!)

This goes beyond traditional procurement, demanding a proactive approach to move nascent technologies from the lab to both the battlefield and the public sphere. Here, the concept of a "better together" investment strategy, uniting venture capital, entrepreneurship, and venture building with the expertise of academic, corporate, and research labs, becomes paramount.

Bridging the Defense Tech "Valleys of Death"

Hard-tech innovation – solutions rooted in the physical and digital face unique execution and scale challenges often termed "the valleys of death." These aren't just one chasm but multiple stages where promising research struggles to secure the necessary funding, specialized talent, and market validation to transition from a scientific discovery to a scalable, deployable solution. The capital intensity, long development cycles, and high technical risks often deter traditional investors. (Conduit's built to navigate and bridge the 'valleys of death.

Conduit is built for the tomorrows challenges!

Conduit's mission is to act as a catalyze and accelerant to the infusion of AI/ML into the physical world -- as an investment platform that integrates venture capital, venture building, and executional risk-reduction -- built and operated by those who have navigated building the physical technologies we all use every-day!

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Conduit VC - Valleys of Death

This is where our "better together" approach shines. As the only full-stack innovation platform that blends, venture investing, with venture building and a hard-tech execution scalar -- we are designed to help accelerate and deliver on NATOs members nations commitment.

Conduit Ventures (The Fund) - An early-stage venture fund investing in breakthrough hard-tech and AI companies. We deploy strategic capital across our studio-born companies and beyond, ensuring early access, deep involvement, and meaningful ownership through Seed to Series A and beyond.

Conduit Venture Labs (The Studio) - A venture studio focused on originating and incubating new companies. We act as co-founders, bringing ideas from idea/lab to market through a structured venture creation process that includes deep market validation, product development, and early customer traction.

  • Working with experienced founders and technologies to build new companies from day zero
  • Collaborating with academic and research labs to help map emerging IP and technologies into viable, venture scale application
  • Partners with corporate innovation labs to help turn next generation platform technologies and IP into cross industry applications

Conduit Beacon (The Hard-Tech Scalar) - Our execution platform for hard-tech commercialization. Beacon supports founders post-incubation with resources to de-risk product development, manufacturing, and go-to-market strategy—bridging the gap from prototype to scale.

Conduit Fellows & Strategic Partner Network - A global network of over 200 expert operators, founders, and corporate partners. This community acts as a strategic force multiplier—providing support across diligence, design, engineering, supply chain, commercialization, manufacturing and capital access.

🚀 Lets Build - Amish Patel (Founding Managing Director, Conduit)

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